I have seen this as well, though I normally keep surrender level set to normal. However, it is extremely odd to see a solo sovereign with no cities refuse to surrender to an opponent with 8, whose army is standing next to her, ready to kill.
I have had a sovereign ready to surrender in .982, but on high difficulties, I prefer to sign peace, get the trade/research bonuses, and avoid the 'conqueror' diplomacy penalty.
The surrender setting was 'random', the one ready to surrender was Magnar, and he had a city vs about 20 of mine.
In .992 I have had Yithril refuse to surrender with no cities and a power ratio of 412:8