Must be the dreaded "October Surprize" Bug.
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Must be the dreaded "October Surprize" Bug.
Is a focus on the Primary season all the way to the presidentual election. You can pick either party. You would have feilds of candidates running in primaries to determine who will be the nominee. I once did a very basic model of this. Test ran it using the 1976 Democratic and 1980 republican primary seasons. It ran really well Carter won most the time (but had some tough fights in 1976) And reagan won most the time in 19
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